Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 215.554858 252.109248 294.703047 348.431025 415.004094 495.588815 6.017505e+02
2025-07-27 167.037298 211.934924 270.042075 352.352432 468.624680 631.286970 8.841474e+02
2025-08-03 141.972167 190.429648 257.901455 361.857146 524.017825 778.535526 1.233492e+03
2025-08-10 122.870163 171.795042 243.799963 362.262873 562.455891 908.535891 1.608421e+03
2025-08-17 109.909488 159.144954 235.114036 367.470541 607.822777 1062.386116 2.099139e+03
2025-08-24 98.515891 146.798588 224.272496 365.953034 639.788912 1201.017178 2.633402e+03
2025-08-31 89.577803 136.901874 215.531701 365.783332 673.457958 1354.278446 3.297671e+03
2025-09-07 83.170761 130.192941 210.965370 372.035074 721.307477 1557.031394 4.244729e+03
2025-09-14 74.538482 118.633309 196.156454 355.480796 715.521632 1628.216815 4.845096e+03
2025-09-21 69.316144 112.384067 190.101508 355.396489 747.166961 1810.452806 6.004510e+03
2025-09-28 65.157466 107.542187 185.983267 358.528111 787.425827 2035.785731 7.589959e+03
2025-10-05 63.951491 107.910067 191.869596 384.595863 894.055976 2521.522799 1.109663e+04
2025-10-12 62.381062 107.864995 197.848387 414.644251 1030.244288 3230.651049 1.766938e+04
2025-10-19 58.528568 103.054037 193.487345 419.523312 1098.069462 3753.529814 2.484247e+04
2025-10-26 55.659482 99.830096 191.997368 431.357422 1193.692852 4490.105785 3.733389e+04
2025-11-02 52.273480 95.166858 186.654842 431.862983 1252.626346 5123.243307 5.286638e+04
2025-11-09 49.647502 91.781561 183.709683 438.354764 1337.045060 5999.698328 8.025886e+04
2025-11-16 46.764264 87.551450 178.230293 436.462526 1389.990285 6772.190475 1.164592e+05
2025-11-23 44.262806 83.892227 173.629405 436.250945 1450.991262 7700.410160 1.761203e+05
2025-11-30 42.420472 81.486956 171.751858 444.049131 1551.538525 9104.302642 3.022583e+05
2025-12-07 39.300946 75.976503 161.534558 423.416504 1515.465557 9352.734235 3.812019e+05
2025-12-14 37.452949 73.168687 157.823567 423.311564 1578.080805 10631.184869 6.404681e+05
2025-12-21 35.936727 70.980644 155.439875 427.210550 1664.136053 12362.455794 1.226739e+06